Watch central banks and U.S. ISM and payrolls

Genevieve Signoret

Macro Views

Events in red are those most likely to shake markets.

Monday 1 September

  • Global: Manufacturing PMIs (Aug).
  • Japan: Inflation expectations implicit in bond yields (Jul).
  • Korea: Foreign trade (Aug).
  • Brazil: Foreign trade (Aug).
  • Mexico: Ordinary legislative session begins, family remittances (Jul), IMEF manufacturing and nonmanufacturing PMI (Aug).

Tuesday 2

  • Korea: Consumer prices (Aug).
  • USA: ISM manufacturing PMI (Aug). Consensus estimate: 57.0 (since 57.6 in July).
  • Brazil: Industrial production (Jul).
  • Mexico: Banxico survey of professional forecasters (Aug), President Peña State of the Nation Address.

Wednesday 3

  • Global: Markit services PMIs (Aug).
  • China: NBS nonmanufacturing PMI (Aug).
  • Turkey: Consumer prices (Aug).
  • Euro Area: GDP (Q2, second estimate).
  • USA: Beige Book.
  • Brazil: Monetary policy decision.

Thursday 4

  • Japan: Monetary policy decision. Consensus estimate: No change at 0.01.0%.
  • Korea: GDP (Q2, final).
  • Euro Area: Monetary policy decision. Consensus estimate: No change at 0.15%.
  • UK: Monetary policy decision. Consensus estimate: No change at 0.50%.
  • USA: ISM nonmanufacturing PMI (Aug), unemployment claims (Aug 30), foreign trade (Jul), Fed speech: Mester (FOMC voter).

Friday 5

  • Germany: Industrial production (Jul).
  • USA: Consumer credit (Jul), Fed speech: Kocherlakota (FOMC voter), nonfarm payrolls and unemployment rate (Aug). Consensus estimate: 220K (since 209K in July).
  • Brazil: Consumer prices (Aug).
  • Mexico: Monetary policy decision, consumer confidence (Aug).
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